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In the bustling city of New York, there was a young man named Alex who was passionate about music. His life was filled with rhythm and harmony, and he found solace in the beats of the city. Every day, he would walk through the streets, his ears tuned to the sounds of the city, searching for that one rhythm that would resonate with his soul. One evening, as the sun dipped below the horizon, casting a golden glow over the city, Alex found himself at a small, dimly lit café. The air was filled with the scent of freshly brewed coffee and the sound of a guitar being strummed softly. The café was small, but it was a haven for those who sought refuge from the chaos of the city. As he sat at a corner table, a man with a guitar case slung over his shoulder walked in. The man took a seat at the counter and began to play. The first note he struck was a powerful, deep tone that seemed to vibrate through the very walls of the café. It was a rhythm that was both strong and powerful, and it immediately caught Alex's attention. The man's fingers danced across the strings, creating a melody that was both haunting and beautiful. The rhythm was a force to be reckoned with, and it filled Alex with a sense of joy and excitement. He found himself tapping his foot in time with the beat, his heart racing with anticipation for what was to come. As the man continued to play, the rhythm grew stronger and more intense. It was as if the music had a life of its own, and it was drawing Alex in, pulling him deeper into its embrace. He felt a connection to the music that was almost tangible, as if the man was sharing a piece of his soul through the strings of his guitar. The music was a language that transcended words, and it spoke to Alex in a way that nothing else ever had. It was a language of emotions, of joy and sorrow, of hope and despair. And as the man played, Alex felt each note, each beat, seep into his very being, filling him with a sense of peace and fulfillment. The rhythm was a reminder to Alex of the power of music to transform lives. It was a force that could bring people together, that could heal wounds and mend broken hearts. And as he listened to the man play, he felt a deep sense of gratitude for the gift of music that had been given to him. As the evening wore on, the man continued to play, his fingers flying across the strings, creating a symphony of sound that was both mesmerizing and captivating. The café was filled with people, all drawn to the music, all touched by its magic. For Alex, the music was a reminder of the strength and power that lay within him. It was a reminder that he, too, had the ability to create something beautiful, something that could touch the hearts of others. And as he listened to the man play, he felt a surge of inspiration, a spark of creativity that had been dormant for far too long. The night passed quickly, and soon it was time for the man to leave. As he packed up his guitar, Alex approached him and thanked him for the music. The man smiled, his eyes twinkling with gratitude, and said, "Music has a way of connecting us all, you know. It's a universal language that speaks to the soul." With those words, Alex felt a renewed sense of purpose. He knew that he wanted to share his love of music with the world, to use it as a tool to bring joy and healing to others. And as he walked out of the café that night, the rhythm of the city still echoing in his ears, he felt a deep sense of fulfillment and happiness. The strong and powerful rhythm that the man had played that night had left an indelible mark on Alex's heart. It had shown him the power of music to transform lives, and it had inspired him to pursue his dreams with passion and determination. And as he continued to walk through the streets of New York, the rhythm of the city still resonating within him, he knew that he was on the path to a life filled with joy and purpose.

文 | 港股研究社这轮科技牛市一轮接一轮的推高，AI 始终是最核心方向。而一波又一波的产业和企业动态，是推动行情的重要催化剂。顶层政策早已为新质生产力的全力发展定下主基调，各地方的执行政策也是加速再各个环节具体化落实并推进落地。行业层面，阿里高管日前再次公开声明，大模型是下一代操作系统，而 AI 云是下一代计算机；并指出相较于生成式 AI 元年 2022 年，到 2032 年阿里云全球数据中心的能耗规模预计将提升 10 倍。长周期中，阿里云指数级提升的算力投入撑起的将是一个超千亿产业链崛起，更不说还有腾讯云、字节跳动等同类玩家。企业层面，近期又有金山云为了加码布局 AI 业务，宣布再度配售募资逾 27 亿港元。然而，尽管科技主线市场情绪良好，消息公布后金山云的股价负反馈，似乎表明投资者对金山云的长周期投入存在担忧。投资者对金山云这层顾虑是否有必要？后期又能如何得到化解？13 年 " 增收不增利 "？开支增速却反超营收 6 倍！要化解顾虑，首先需认知到顾虑的根源。根据最新财报，上半年得益于 AI 相关客户收入强劲增长及行业云项目扩张，金山云营收同比增了 17.8%，其中还有部分增量被部分主动缩减的内容分发网络（CDN）客户服务抵消。且 AI 赋能业绩的增长势能是逐季增强的。二季度其总收入同比增长 24%，远超整个上半年；其中，AI 业务单季度毛收入更是激增超 1.2 倍至 7.29 亿元，占到公有云服务收入的 44.8%。这番成绩的背后，与所有 AI 科技服务企业类似，金山云正处在持续烧钱投入研发期中。投入层面，2025 年上半年，金山云包括由第三方融资部分的总资本开支以及集团通过融资租赁负债而换取的使用权资产合计约 49.76 亿元，按年增长约 155%。显然，收入增长的同时，其资本开支扩张得更快，增速甚至是前者的近 7 倍。向外融资层面，今年截至此次配售再募资计划之前，金山云已经开展过不止一轮大规模募资项目。今年 4 月，金山云层发布公告称，计划通过发行美国存托股和普通股完成一轮募资，其中控股股东金山软件也以每股 5.83 港元认购约 6937.5 万股新股，该轮合计筹资超过 20 亿港元。据悉，9 月这次新配售再募资计划之前，金山云已经将约 1.67 亿美元融资款项，用于投资升级及建设基础设施。持续投入本非问题，但风险在于，自 2012 年成立至今十三年来，金山云整体仍未实现正盈利。简单统计可知，2021 年至 2024 年累计亏损约 84 亿元，且年度亏损仍在持续推高。2025 上半年净亏损同比扩大 7.81% 至 7.7 亿元。截至 6 月末，金山云资产负债率为 71.6%，比之 2024 年末的 68.7%，明显上升。显示其对外部资金的依赖度较高。当企业整体盈利模式尚未完全走通的情况下，" 烧钱 " 投入 AI 研发极则可能加剧财务风险，投资者的顾虑由此而生。巨头生态碾压下，二三线云商不 ALL IN AI 就出局！即便如此，继续加大 AI 投入对金山云而言仍是明智且必要的选择。站在行业竞争视角，这几年随着大模型技术加速进入商业化落地阶段，全球 AI 云市场早已进入新增长周期。扩大投入、抢占制高点，已成为 AI 云服务商的关键课题。目前，海外的微软、亚马逊、谷歌，国内阿里云、火山引擎、华为云等占据绝大部分市场份额的头部厂商都在奋力加大资本开支，以支撑 AI 技术及业务扩张。图：国际权威市场调研机构 Omdia 发布《中国 AI 云市场，1H25》报告以海外市场为例，北美四大云厂商 225Q2 资本开支合计 874 亿美元，同、环比分别增 69%、23%；近日甲骨文一纸约 3170 亿美元未来合同收入增量，更是进一步印证需求爆发。国内方面，据 Omdia 报告，2025 年中国 AI 云市场规模预计将从去年的 208.3 亿元翻倍增至 518 亿元，并预计 2025 年至 2030 年 CAGR 达 26.8%，市场进入爆发期。为了抓住这个能重新定义赛道规则的时代机遇，今年以来互联网头部企业都在极尽可能地扩大投入规模：25Q2 阿里 "AI+ 云 " 资本支出达 386 亿元，创历史新高，未来三年计划投入超 3800 亿元；字节跳动（火山引擎）同期投入 85 亿美元，AI 研发费用同比激增 120% 至 48 亿美元；腾讯资本开支同比增长翻倍至 191 亿元；百度资本开支达 38 亿元，增速近 80%。在这种行业大基调中，AI 已成为拉动云增长的核心引擎，云计算正从 " 资源规模化 " 转向 " 能力智能化 "。此时，站在 AI 时代到来的黄金十字路口，想要为自身塑造更多的可能性，加大对 AI 技术的投入是任何科技企业的必然之举，阿里云、腾讯云如是，金山云、万国数据、优刻得等二三线以下的玩家更如是。然而，现实是，" 金山云们 " 在资源实力、互联网生态能力等绝对实力层面，是先天弱于衍生于阿里、腾讯、华为等超级互联网生态或科技生态系统的云服务龙头。简单统计可知，除金山云外，七牛智能、优刻得、易点云（24 年开始实现扭亏为盈）等云服务商普遍存在长期亏损问题，而万国数据、新意网集团等数据中心类企业盈利模式更早一点打通。在这种普遍现实中，借助外部合作与资本力量成为金山云等二三线以下玩家强化自身不被时代、不被 AI 新技术抛弃的重要选择。押注的确定性：金山云独享小米 AI 云生态站在企业的维度，金山云的优势还是很鲜明的。首先，从生态条件来说，虽然不能与阿里云、腾讯云、火山引擎、华为云等天之骄子相媲美，但金山云与金山集团和小米集团长期存在的深度关联，就决定了它在 " 云圈子 " 中被小看不了。截至 6 月 17 日，金山软件持股 35.59%，小米集团持股 11.12%，雷军为实际控制人。本次配售后，两家持股将略有稀释，但不影响控制权。更重要的是这种亲密的股权关系早已深度渗透到业务层面。资料显示，金山云是小米生态系统内的唯一战略云平台，为小米提供云计算和数据存储等服务。尤其小米汽车业态中，金山云便深度参智能座舱、自动驾驶技术等核心技术的构建，为其提供全方位的云平台技术支持，未来还将继续为 AIoT 和大模型推理量提供云基础。这一点实则在财报中已经有了明显所体现。25Q2 来自小米和金山生态的收入同比增长 69.5% 至 6.3 亿元，占比提升至 26.8%。上半年相关收入达 11.3 亿元，已完成年度关联交易额度的 40%。根据 2024 年小米与金山云续签的三年战略协议，双方直接将年度关联交易上限从过去的 8.68 亿元大幅提升至 23.10 亿元 -40.35 亿元，合作范围涵盖 AI 算力、数据存储、智能驾驶训练研发等领域。三年累计超 94 亿元的合作协议，显示小米金山生态持续增长带来的业务机会，也显著增强了金山云未来三年 AI 业务收入增长的可预见性。对此机构也颇为看好，早前大行里昂曾预测，金山云 GenAI 服务 2025 年有望实现 60% 增长，收入约 20 亿元。小米必将是重要的增量收入来源，其中小米自动驾驶培训需求预计贡献 4 – 5 亿元。此外，金山云为 WPS Office 提供云计算支持，后者在国产办公软件市场中份额领先，政企端渗透率达 78%，移动端市占率超 90%。金山云、金山集团与小米共同构成的 " 大生态系统 "，将是金山云区别于同类厂商的独特护城河，也使得金山云 AI 业务的长周期增长非常具备可预见性。此时持续加大资本投入显示是一件可以用脚投票的选择。按照规划，此番再融资近八成配售所得款项用于扩张基础设施及提升云服务能力以支持 AI 业务。至于部分投资者的盈利顾虑，或许最终在这些确定性业绩持续放量中陆续得到化解。其次，想要在巨头林立的云服务市场，守住市场盘，甚至伺机更进一步，关键打铁还需自身硬。产品端，在基础云层面，二季度金山云刚推出第九代云服务器 X9a/C9a、块存储 ESSD AutoPL 等新品，提升性能与灵活性；智算云层面，星流平台支持全生命周期数据管理，云原生 AI 套件提供大模型全链路服务；面向政企的银河平台增强 " 一云多芯 " 能力，获多项权威认证。而数字健康、政务、企业服务等行业客户端落地的再加速则真实印证了其技术能力。